# INFORME TÉCNICO: MOTOR V3.5 (SWEET SPOT AH 0.0) • PRODUCCIÓN REAL PS3838
**Fecha de Generación:** 2026-10-17 21:10:14 CEST  
**Entorno:** PS3838 (Pinnacle Sports Asian Solution) con Enrutador Inteligente a OrbitX  
**Base de Datos:** `/var/www/quantfootball/backend/quantfootball.db` (Tabla `bets`)  

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## 1. Resumen Ejecutivo de Métricas

- **Total Apuestas Ejecutadas en Real:** **53** (53 resueltas, 0 en juego)
- **Ganadas:** **28**
- **Empatadas (Push / Reembolso 100%):** **14**
- **Perdidas:** **11**
- **Tasa de Acierto en Partidos Decididos:** **71.8%** (28/39)
- **Tasa de Invicto (Sin Pérdida de Capital):** **79.2%** (42/53)
- **Capital Total Arriesgado:** 289.00 EUR
- **Beneficio Neto Acumulado:** **+26.44 EUR**
- **ROI:** **+9.15%**

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## 2. Parámetros Cuantitativos de Entrada del Motor v3.5

1. **Mercado:** Exclusivamente **Hándicap Asiático 0.0 (DNB / Empate Apuesta No Válida)**. Se erradicó el 1X2 clásico para neutralizar el riesgo del empate.
2. **Rango de Cuotas ("Sweet Spot"):** `1.45 <= Cuota <= 1.75`.
3. **Umbral de Valor:** $\text{EV} \ge +4.0\%$ frente a la probabilidad Poisson del modelo.
4. **Dimensionamiento de Posición:** **Stake plano estricto de 5.50 EUR** (~0.8% del bankroll de 660 EUR) para aislar la calidad predictiva del modelo sin distorsión por apalancamiento.

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## 3. Registro Detallado de Apuestas en Producción Real

| Ticket ID | Fecha/Hora (CET) | Liga | Partido | Selección | Cuota | EV (%) | Stake | Resultado | PnL (EUR) |
| :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :---: | :---: | :---: | :---: | :---: |
| FUT-REAL-3781809842 | 2026-09-17 18:43:58 | Spain - La Liga | Malaga vs Villarreal | Villarreal AH 0.0 | 1.602 | 6.15% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.31 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3782530730 | 2026-09-18 15:54:24 | Germany - Bundesliga 2 | Greuther Furth vs FC Magdeburg | FC Magdeburg AH 0.0 | 1.671 | 5.02% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3782536929 | 2026-09-18 16:01:17 | Turkey - 1st League | Muglaspor vs Igdir Belediyespor | Igdir Belediyespor AH 0.0 | 1.529 | 5.28% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +2.91 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3782538836 | 2026-09-18 16:02:43 | Germany - Regionalliga North East | Zwickau vs Hallescher | Hallescher AH 0.0 | 1.537 | 4.02% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +2.95 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3782582493 | 2026-09-18 16:31:12 | Germany - Regionalliga West | Rodinghausen vs Gutersloh | Gutersloh AH 0.0 | 1.526 | 4.05% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3782672519 | 2026-09-18 17:31:42 | Scotland - Championship | Queens Park vs Ayr United | Ayr United AH 0.0 | 1.606 | 4.56% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.33 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3782714561 | 2026-09-18 17:57:29 | Ireland - Division 1 | Finn Harps vs Longford Town | Longford Town AH 0.0 | 1.531 | 5.48% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +2.92 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783060729 | 2026-09-19 00:00:37 | Panama - Primera Division | San Francisco vs Arabe Unido | Arabe Unido AH 0.0 | 1.487 | 4.67% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +2.68 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783224284 | 2026-09-19 06:00:51 | Korea Republic - K League 1 | Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu | Gimcheon Sangmu AH 0.0 | 1.571 | 4.1% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.14 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783291717 | 2026-09-19 08:00:50 | Japan - J League | V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka | Cerezo Osaka AH 0.0 | 1.609 | 6.99% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783303784 | 2026-09-19 08:17:55 | Japan - J2 League | Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija | Omiya Ardija AH 0.0 | 1.591 | 4.5% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783316154 | 2026-09-19 08:31:03 | Japan - J2 League | Albirex Niigata vs Jubilo Iwata | Jubilo Iwata AH 0.0 | 1.578 | 5.41% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783373305 | 2026-09-19 09:31:15 | Germany - Bundesliga 2 | Karlsruher vs Nurnberg | Nurnberg AH 0.0 | 1.671 | 4.33% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.69 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783440961 | 2026-09-19 10:20:44 | Thailand - League 1 | Pattani FC vs Prachuap | Prachuap AH 0.0 | 1.48 | 4.85% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +2.64 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783463206 | 2026-09-19 10:31:44 | France - Ligue 2 | Boulogne vs Nantes | Nantes AH 0.0 | 1.581 | 5.29% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.20 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783644529 | 2026-09-19 12:19:49 | Germany - Bundesliga | Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 | Mainz 05 AH 0.0 | 1.581 | 4.37% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.20 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783667977 | 2026-09-19 12:34:44 | Finland - Veikkausliiga | VPS vs KuPS | KuPS AH 0.0 | 1.523 | 4.3% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +2.88 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783673525 | 2026-09-19 12:36:34 | Northern Ireland - Premiership | Cliftonville vs Glentoran | Glentoran AH 0.0 | 1.602 | 4.28% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.31 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3783677015 | 2026-09-19 12:40:59 | England - League 1 | Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County | Stockport County AH 0.0 | 1.617 | 4.68% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3784164681 | 2026-09-19 15:54:01 | Lithuania - A Lyga | Transinvest vs Vilnius Zalgiris | Vilnius Zalgiris AH 0.0 | 1.574 | 4.2% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3784216624 | 2026-09-19 16:27:04 | Turkey - Super League | Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray | Galatasaray AH 0.0 | 1.641 | 4.02% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3784288635 | 2026-09-19 17:04:14 | Poland - Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze | Gornik Zabrze AH 0.0 | 1.632 | 4.79% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3784396167 | 2026-09-19 17:56:26 | Spain - Segunda Division | Cadiz vs Girona | Girona AH 0.0 | 1.458 | 4.06% | 6.0 € | **GANADA** | +2.75 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3784697721 | 2026-09-19 22:00:31 | USA - Major League Soccer | San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC | Los Angeles FC AH 0.0 | 1.609 | 4.65% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.35 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3784812643 | 2026-09-20 00:47:52 | Colombia - Primera A | Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas | Once Caldas AH 0.0 | 1.564 | 5.31% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785000662 | 2026-09-20 06:30:43 | Japan - J League | Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe | Vissel Kobe AH 0.0 | 1.537 | 5.26% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +2.95 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785124816 | 2026-09-20 09:00:43 | Italy - Serie A | Fiorentina vs Napoli | Napoli AH 0.0 | 1.645 | 4.46% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785150595 | 2026-09-20 09:30:46 | Romania - Liga 1 | Voluntari vs Universitatea Cluj | Universitatea Cluj AH 0.0 | 1.578 | 4.34% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.18 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785156762 | 2026-09-20 09:31:46 | Spain - Segunda Federacion | Tamaraceite vs Recreativo Huelva | Recreativo Huelva AH 0.0 | 1.476 | 4.15% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +2.62 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785188922 | 2026-09-20 10:11:38 | Thailand - League 1 | Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi | Ratchaburi AH 0.0 | 1.564 | 4.46% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785210547 | 2026-09-20 10:30:56 | Denmark - Superliga | Brondby vs FC Copenhagen | FC Copenhagen AH 0.0 | 1.632 | 5.04% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.48 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785209716 | 2026-09-20 10:31:53 | Sweden - Allsvenskan | Halmstads vs AIK | AIK AH 0.0 | 1.505 | 4.79% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785241793 | 2026-09-20 11:00:57 | Poland - 1st Liga | Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia | Arka Gdynia AH 0.0 | 1.515 | 5.54% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785243034 | 2026-09-20 11:01:50 | Netherlands - Eredivisie | FC Twente vs PSV | PSV AH 0.0 | 1.645 | 4.33% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785403317 | 2026-09-20 12:42:11 | South Africa - PSL | Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs | Kaizer Chiefs AH 0.0 | 1.505 | 5.45% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785435890 | 2026-09-20 13:01:15 | Uzbekistan - Super League | Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Neftchi Fergona | Neftchi Fergona AH 0.0 | 1.54 | 4.05% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +2.97 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785542856 | 2026-09-20 13:46:35 | France - Ligue 1 | Nice vs Lille | Lille AH 0.0 | 1.591 | 6.93% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785547060 | 2026-09-20 13:49:18 | Slovakia - Super Liga | Skalica vs Podbrezova | Podbrezova AH 0.0 | 1.584 | 4.35% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.21 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785676350 | 2026-09-20 14:48:56 | Iceland - Premier League | Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik AH 0.0 | 1.347 | 4.42% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785686181 | 2026-09-20 14:52:14 | Denmark - Superliga | Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland | FC Nordsjaelland AH 0.0 | 1.595 | 4.28% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785769549 | 2026-09-20 15:31:15 | Portugal - Primeira Liga | Santa Clara vs Braga | Braga AH 0.0 | 1.555 | 6.54% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3785830965 | 2026-09-20 16:02:13 | Germany - 3. Liga | Wehen Wiesbaden vs Duisburg | Duisburg AH 0.0 | 1.625 | 4.21% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.44 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3786096256 | 2026-09-20 18:30:59 | Venezuela - Primera Division | Anzoategui vs Caracas | Caracas AH 0.0 | 1.495 | 4.67% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3786101449 | 2026-09-20 18:31:57 | Brazil - Serie A | Vitoria vs Cruzeiro | Cruzeiro AH 0.0 | 1.709 | 4.04% | 5.5 € | **GANADA** | +3.90 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3786338372 | 2026-09-20 23:30:35 | Costa Rica - Primera Division | AD San Carlos vs Cartagines | Cartagines AH 0.0 | 1.636 | 4.47% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3786626426 | 2026-09-21 16:00:31 | Argentina - Liga Pro | Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman | Atletico Tucuman AH 0.0 | 1.621 | 4.46% | 5.5 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.50 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3786681130 | 2026-09-21 18:02:55 | Italy - Serie C Group B | Guidonia Montecelio vs Livorno | Livorno AH 0.0 | 1.574 | 4.2% | 5.5 € | **EMPATADA** | +0.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3786742949 | 2026-09-21 20:30:41 | Argentina - Liga Pro | Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia | Independiente Rivadavia AH 0.0 | 1.606 | 4.32% | 5.0 € | **GANADA** | +3.03 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3787163903 | 2026-09-22 16:30:33 | England - EFL Trophy | Gillingham vs Cambridge United | Cambridge United AH 0.0 | 1.602 | 4.07% | 5.0 € | **GANADA** | +3.01 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3787182899 | 2026-09-22 16:55:35 | England - EFL Trophy | Walsall vs Stevenage | Stevenage AH 0.0 | 1.581 | 4.07% | 5.0 € | **GANADA** | +2.90 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3787965722 | 2026-09-23 19:43:42 | Peru - Liga 1 | Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs Cienciano | Cienciano AH 0.0 | 1.555 | 4.74% | 5.0 € | **PERDIDA** | -5.00 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3788003272 | 2026-09-23 21:30:43 | Uruguay - Cup | CA Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado | Deportivo Maldonado AH 0.0 | 1.518 | 4.88% | 5.0 € | **GANADA** | +2.59 € |\n| FUT-REAL-3788356007 | 2026-09-24 14:30:35 | UEFA - Nations League D | Andorra vs Malta | Malta AH 0.0 | 1.581 | 4.17% | 5.0 € | **GANADA** | +2.90 € |\n